leal_2022_cyber_attribution

12,330 rated or chosen profiles from 1,233 respondents, in up to 5 tasks of 2 profiles varying on 10 attributes.

About this table

DescriptionUS MTurk respondents (spring 2019, second wave of a panel; 1,233 respondents) compared five pairs of hypothetical cyberattacks varying target, damage, deaths, perpetrator type and origin, purpose, intelligence-community confidence, expert agreement and a policymaker's reaction. Outcomes per scenario: 0-100 confidence in the attribution, 0-100 severity, and support (1/0) for six foreign-policy responses or six criminal sentences.
ReferenceLeal, M., & Musgrave, P. (2022). Cheerleading in cyberspace: How the American public judges attribution claims for cyberattacks. Foreign Policy Analysis, 18(2), orac003.
DOI10.1093/fpa/orac003
LicenceCC0 1.0
Source datahttps://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/MVDDKX

Notes

These notes describe the source data, which the IRW reproduces as released. All notes are listed on the Data Notes page.

Size and shape

Respondents1,233
Rows (one per respondent, task and profile)12,330
Tasks per respondent (most)5
Profiles per task2
Attributes10

Design

Topicforeign policy security
A profile representsscenario
CountryUS
Language shownen
Language of stored levelsen
Randomization restrictionsobserved in the data (not documented by the source): No source documents a rule, but 'A group of terrorists' occurs only with origin Iran, Russia or the United States and 'A government agency' never with the United States. Level shares unequal for several attributes (e.g. economic damage 'Minimal' 1,795 vs 'Billions of dollars' 4,057 raw profiles; perpetrator type 'A group of terrorists' rarest).
Task orderrecorded in the deposit
Profile positionrecorded in the deposit

Because the attribute levels were not randomized independently, an estimator has to account for the restriction; a plain difference in means across levels can mislead.

Outcomes:

rating_confidenceOn a scale of 0 to 100, where 0 indicates no confidence and 100 indicates complete confidence, how confident are you in the intelligence community's assessment of who was responsible for each attack? [rating, 0 (Not confident) to 100 (Complete confidence)]
rating_severityOn a scale of 0 to 100, where 0 indicates "not severe" and 100 indicates "very severe", how would you rate the severity of each event? [rating, 0 (Not severe) to 100 (Very severe)]
rating_support_airstrikesFor scenario 1 [2] only: Would you approve of each of the following measures against those the intelligence community believes to be the perpetrators? You may support any, all, or none of these responses. Conduct airstrikes [rating, 0 (Would not support) to 1 (Would support)]
rating_support_community_serviceFor scenario 1 [2] only: Would you approve of each of the following sentences for those believed to be the perpetrators? You may support any, all, or none of these responses. Community service [rating, 0 (Would not support) to 1 (Would support)]
rating_support_cyberattacksFor scenario 1 [2] only: Would you approve of each of the following measures against those the intelligence community believes to be the perpetrators? You may support any, all, or none of these responses. Conduct cyberattacks [rating, 0 (Would not support) to 1 (Would support)]
rating_support_cyberespionageFor scenario 1 [2] only: Would you approve of each of the following measures against those the intelligence community believes to be the perpetrators? You may support any, all, or none of these responses. Intensify cyberespionage [rating, 0 (Would not support) to 1 (Would support)]
rating_support_death_penaltyFor scenario 1 [2] only: Would you approve of each of the following sentences for those believed to be the perpetrators? You may support any, all, or none of these responses. The death penalty [rating, 0 (Would not support) to 1 (Would support)]
rating_support_diplomaticFor scenario 1 [2] only: Would you approve of each of the following measures against those the intelligence community believes to be the perpetrators? You may support any, all, or none of these responses. Condemn through diplomatic channels [rating, 0 (Would not support) to 1 (Would support)]
rating_support_do_nothingFor scenario 1 [2] only: Would you approve of each of the following measures against those the intelligence community believes to be the perpetrators? You may support any, all, or none of these responses. Do nothing [rating, 0 (Would not support) to 1 (Would support)]
rating_support_fineFor scenario 1 [2] only: Would you approve of each of the following sentences for those believed to be the perpetrators? You may support any, all, or none of these responses. A large monetary fine [rating, 0 (Would not support) to 1 (Would support)]
rating_support_life_sentenceFor scenario 1 [2] only: Would you approve of each of the following sentences for those believed to be the perpetrators? You may support any, all, or none of these responses. A life sentence [rating, 0 (Would not support) to 1 (Would support)]
rating_support_no_punishmentFor scenario 1 [2] only: Would you approve of each of the following sentences for those believed to be the perpetrators? You may support any, all, or none of these responses. No punishment [rating, 0 (Would not support) to 1 (Would support)]
rating_support_prisonFor scenario 1 [2] only: Would you approve of each of the following sentences for those believed to be the perpetrators? You may support any, all, or none of these responses. A short prison term [rating, 0 (Would not support) to 1 (Would support)]
rating_support_sanctionsFor scenario 1 [2] only: Would you approve of each of the following measures against those the intelligence community believes to be the perpetrators? You may support any, all, or none of these responses. Apply economic sanctions [rating, 0 (Would not support) to 1 (Would support)]

Columns

attr_deathsattr_economic_damageattr_expertsattr_intel_confidenceattr_perpetrator_originattr_perpetrator_typeattr_policymakerattr_policymaker_reactionattr_purposeattr_targetcov_birth_yearcov_cyber_foreigncov_cyber_preparedcov_cyber_uscov_cyber_worriedcov_duration_seccov_educationcov_gendercov_hispaniccov_ideologycov_ideology_forcedcov_party_idcov_party_leancov_party_strengthcov_racecov_therm_brazilcov_therm_canadacov_therm_chinacov_therm_francecov_therm_germanycov_therm_indiacov_therm_irancov_therm_israelcov_therm_japancov_therm_north_koreacov_therm_russiacov_therm_south_koreacov_therm_ukcov_therm_usacov_therm_vietnamcov_threat_china_disputescov_threat_china_militarycov_threat_climatecov_threat_cybercov_threat_epidemicscov_threat_financial_crisiscov_threat_immigrantscov_threat_iran_nuclearcov_threat_islamic_fundamentalismcov_threat_nk_nuclearcov_threat_russiacov_threat_terrorismidprofilerating_confidencerating_severityrating_support_airstrikesrating_support_community_servicerating_support_cyberattacksrating_support_cyberespionagerating_support_death_penaltyrating_support_diplomaticrating_support_do_nothingrating_support_finerating_support_life_sentencerating_support_no_punishmentrating_support_prisonrating_support_sanctionstask

The layout (one row per respondent, task and profile; choice/rating outcomes; attr_ columns holding each attribute level as displayed) is defined in the IRW conjoint standard. What the outcomes asked is under Design above.

Get the data

Download CSVno account neededBrowse on Redivisexplore and queryCroissant metadataHugging Face, Kaggle, OpenML

Or load it directly in R or Python (both need a free Redivis account; the first call opens a browser to sign in):

# R
install.packages("remotes")
remotes::install_github("itemresponsewarehouse/Rpkg")
library(irw)
df <- irw_fetch("leal_2022_cyber_attribution", source = "conj")
# Python
pip install irw

import irw
df = irw.fetch("leal_2022_cyber_attribution", source="conj")

How to cite

@article{Leal_2022, title={Cheerleading in Cyberspace: How the American Public Judges Attribution Claims for Cyberattacks}, volume={18}, ISSN={1743-8594}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/fpa/orac003}, DOI={10.1093/fpa/orac003}, number={2}, journal={Foreign Policy Analysis}, publisher={Oxford University Press (OUP)}, author={Leal, Marcelo and Musgrave, Paul}, year={2022}, month=Mar }

Version and provenance

IRW versionv584
Redivis datasetirw_conjoint v4.2
Redivis dataset DOI10.57761/qkye-q530
Manifest pin for this IRW versionv4.2
Metadata sourceirw_meta v44.0