himmelstein-berlin_numeracy-2025_nom

4,588 responses from 1,147 respondents to 4 items.

The scored version of this table is himmelstein-berlin_numeracy-2025.

One of 8 tables from the same source. The others are listed under Related tables.

About this table

DescriptionThis dataset measures numeracy with the Berlin Numeracy Test.
ReferenceHimmelstein, Mark, Sophie Ma Zhu, Nikolay Petrov, Ezra Karger, Jessica Helmer, Sivan Livnat, Amory Bennett, Page Hedley, and Phil Tetlock. “The Forecasting Proficiency Test: A General Use Assessment of Forecasting Ability”. PsyArXiv, November 23, 2025. doi:10.31234/osf.io/a7kdx_v8.
DOI10.31234/osf.io/a7kdx_v8
LicenceCC BY 4.0
Source datahttps://github.com/forecastingresearch/fpt/tree/main/data_cognitive_tasks

Size and shape

Responses4,588
Respondents1,147
Items4
Response categories4
Responses per respondent4

Columns

iditemresptext

id, item, resp are defined in the IRW data standard and mean the same in every table. For the other columns, including what item codes and covariate values stand for, any codebook is the one released with the source data.

Get the data

Download CSVno account neededBrowse on Redivisexplore and queryCroissant metadataHugging Face, Kaggle, OpenML

Or load it directly in R or Python:

# R (no account needed)
install.packages("remotes")
remotes::install_github("itemresponsewarehouse/Rpkg")
library(irw)
df <- irw_fetch("himmelstein-berlin_numeracy-2025_nom", source = "nom")
# Python (needs a free Redivis account)
pip install irw

import irw
df = irw.fetch("himmelstein-berlin_numeracy-2025_nom", source="nom")

How to cite

@article{Himmelstein_2025, title={The Forecasting Proficiency Test: A General Use Assessment of Forecasting Ability}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/a7kdx_v8}, DOI={10.31234/osf.io/a7kdx_v8}, publisher={Center for Open Science}, author={Himmelstein, Mark and Zhu, Sophie Ma and Petrov, Nikolay and Karger, Ezra and Helmer, Jessica and Livnat, Sivan and Bennett, Amory and Hedley, Page and Tetlock, Phil}, year={2025}, month=Nov }

Version and provenance

IRW versionv540
Redivis datasetirw_nominal v4.1
Redivis dataset DOI10.57761/9hzd-dc70
Manifest pin for this IRW versionv4.0
Metadata sourceirw_meta v37.0