cebul_2021_assurances

1,028 rated or chosen profiles from 1,028 respondents, in up to 1 tasks of 1 profile varying on 3 attributes.

About this table

Description1,028 US adults each read one US-China Diaoyu Islands crisis vignette (US president's party, balance of power, China's record with Vietnam; 8 cells) and rated how credible China's threat and assurance are and how the US should respond.
ReferenceCebul, M. D., Dafoe, A., & Monteiro, N. P. (2021). Coercion and the credibility of assurances. The Journal of Politics, 83(3), 975-991.
DOI10.1086/711132
LicenceCC0 1.0
Source datahttps://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/PEHPBY

Notes

These notes describe the source data, which the IRW reproduces as released. All notes are listed on the Data Notes page.

Size and shape

Respondents1,028
Rows (one per respondent, task and profile)1,028
Tasks per respondent (most)1
Profiles per task1
Attributes3

Design

Topicforeign policy security
A profile representsscenario
CountryUS
Language shownen
Language of stored levelsen
Task orderinferred from row order
Profile positioninferred from row order

Task order or profile position was rebuilt from row order; analyses of position or task order should leave it out.

Outcomes:

rating_cred_assuranceSuppose that the United States recognizes Chinese sovereignty over the Diaoyu Islands. Do you think that China will still attempt to contest U.S. military presence in the region at a later date? (stored reversed: 4 = Very Unlikely .. 0 = Very Likely) [rating, 0 (Very Likely that China will contest later (least credible assurance)) to 4 (Very Unlikely that China will contest later (most credible assurance))]
rating_cred_threatSuppose that the United States rejects China's demand for sovereignty over the Diaoyu Islands. Do you think that China will follow through on its threat to contest U.S. military presence in the region? [rating, 0 (Very Unlikely) to 4 (Very Likely)]
rating_resolveHow should the United States respond to China's demand for sovereignty over the Diaoyu Islands? The United States should... (0 accept the demand; 1 reject but ask Japan to renounce its claim if any conflict arises; 2 reject but ask Japan to renounce only if conflict costs more than 100 American fatalities; 3 reject even if conflict costs more than 100 American fatalities) [rating, 0 (Accept China's demand) to 3 (Reject even if > 100 American fatalities)]

Columns

attr_china_recordattr_military_balanceattr_president_partycov_agecov_educationcov_gendercov_military_servicecov_party_idcov_pol_knowledge_codeidprofilerating_cred_assurancerating_cred_threatrating_resolvetask

The layout (one row per respondent, task and profile; choice/rating outcomes; attr_ columns holding each attribute level as displayed) is defined in the IRW conjoint standard. What the outcomes asked is under Design above.

Get the data

Download CSVno account neededBrowse on Redivisexplore and queryCroissant metadataHugging Face, Kaggle, OpenML

Or load it directly in R or Python (both need a free Redivis account; the first call opens a browser to sign in):

# R
install.packages("remotes")
remotes::install_github("itemresponsewarehouse/Rpkg")
library(irw)
df <- irw_fetch("cebul_2021_assurances", source = "conj")
# Python
pip install irw

import irw
df = irw.fetch("cebul_2021_assurances", source="conj")

How to cite

@article{Cebul_2021, title={Coercion and the Credibility of Assurances}, volume={83}, ISSN={1468-2508}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/711132}, DOI={10.1086/711132}, number={3}, journal={The Journal of Politics}, publisher={University of Chicago Press}, author={Cebul, Matthew D. and Dafoe, Allan and Monteiro, Nuno P.}, year={2021}, month=July, pages={975–991} }

Version and provenance

IRW versionv584
Redivis datasetirw_conjoint_2 v1.4
Redivis dataset DOI10.57761/hk97-wv30
Manifest pin for this IRW versionv1.4
Metadata sourceirw_meta v44.0